Weekly Analysis · 2026 Week 5
Week 5 MFPI analysis: Tupelo High School leads the statewide rankings
What moved in the Week 5 Mississippi Football Power Index, computed from verified results through Sep 29.
The top of the statewide rankings
Tupelo High School (5-0) is No. 1 for the 5th straight published week. MFPI rating: decreased 0.3 points to 95.9. In the latest window it beat West Point High School (currently No. 88) 34-6 on the road on Sep 25.
No. 2 D'Iberville High School (5-0, 7A): ranking unchanged at No. 2; rating increased 0.3 points to 94.6. It beat Harrison Central High School (currently No. 80) 42-7 at home on Sep 25.
No. 3 Warren Central High School (5-0, 6A): ranking unchanged at No. 3; rating increased 0.4 points to 92.6. It beat Madison Central High School (currently No. 31) 42-21 at home on Sep 25.
No. 4 Starkville High School (4-1, 7A): ranking unchanged at No. 4; rating decreased 0.7 points to 91.2. It lost to Brandon High School (currently No. 8) 31-38 at home on Sep 25.
No. 5 Gulfport High School (3-1, 7A): ranking unchanged at No. 5; rating unchanged at 90.9. It beat Pascagoula High School (currently No. 66) 41-7 at home on Sep 25.
| Rank | Team | Class | Record | MFPI | Rating change | Rank move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tupelo High School | 7A | 5-0 | 95.9 | -0.3 | — |
| 2 | D'Iberville High School | 7A | 5-0 | 94.6 | +0.3 | — |
| 3 | Warren Central High School | 6A | 5-0 | 92.6 | +0.4 | — |
| 4 | Starkville High School | 7A | 4-1 | 91.2 | -0.7 | — |
| 5 | Gulfport High School | 7A | 3-1 | 90.9 | 0.0 | — |
| 6 | Poplarville Jr Sr High School | 4A | 5-0 | 90.0 | +2.0 | +2 |
| 7 | Oxford High School | 7A | 4-1 | 89.7 | +4.6 | +5 |
| 8 | Brandon High School | 7A | 4-1 | 89.2 | +0.7 | -1 |
| 9 | South Panola High School | 6A | 2-2 | 89.0 | +3.4 | +2 |
| 10 | Desoto Central High School | 7A | 3-1 | 88.4 | +5.2 | +6 |
Classification leaders
Class ranks are the statewide order filtered to one classification; MFPI never recalculates a separate class rating.
Class 2A: Heidelberg High School replaced East Webster High School at No. 1.
| Class | No. 1 | Record | State rank | MFPI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | Tupelo High School | 5-0 | 1 | 95.9 |
| 6A | Warren Central High School | 5-0 | 3 | 92.6 |
| 5A | Pontotoc High School | 4-0 | 19 | 84.9 |
| 4A | Poplarville Jr Sr High School | 5-0 | 6 | 90.0 |
| 3A | Noxubee County High School | 4-1 | 26 | 79.2 |
| 2A | Heidelberg High School | 3-1 | 36 | 76.4 |
| 1A | Leflore County High School | 4-0 | 34 | 76.8 |
Results that raised ratings most
The largest rating increases among teams with a verified result in this window. A rating can also move without a game, because every opponent's rating is re-solved each week.
Wilkinson County High (+17.2 to 57.2, now No. 92) beat Sacred Heart (currently No. 169) 44-3 at home on Sep 25.
Nanih Waiya Attendance Center (+14.4 to 51.1, now No. 107) beat Water Valley High School (currently No. 100) 48-36 on the road on Sep 25.
Heidelberg High School (+14.1 to 76.4, now No. 36) beat Leake Central High School (currently No. 44) 47-0 on the road on Sep 25.
Mooreville High School (+10.2 to 43.3, now No. 136) beat Mantachie Attendance Center (currently No. 184) 42-0 at home on Sep 25.
New Hope High School (+10.0 to 74.4, now No. 41) beat Houston High School (currently No. 95) 34-7 on the road on Sep 25.
The full list of movers is in the Week 5 risers and fallers in the MFPI analysis.
Schedule strength
MFPI strength of schedule is the average current rating of every completed opponent, expressed as a statewide percentile (100 is the strongest schedule in this week's field, not a perfect grade). The five strongest schedules: West Point High School (0-4, SOS percentile 100.0); Oxford High School (4-1, SOS percentile 99.6); Brandon High School (4-1, SOS percentile 99.1); West Harrison High School (2-3, SOS percentile 98.7); Madison Central High School (2-3, SOS percentile 98.2).
Teams that have played furthest above their own classification (average class steps up, games up in class): Okolona High School (1A, +2.50, 4 up); Poplarville Jr Sr High School (4A, +2.00, 5 up); Lumberton High School (1A, +2.00, 4 up); H. W. Byers High School (5-12) (1A, +2.00, 4 up); Scott Central Attendance Center (2A, +1.80, 5 up).
Data notes and limitations
Snapshot generated September 29, 2026 at 1:41 PM Central with a cutoff of September 29 at 11:00 AM Central, formula MFPI-3.2.
567 of 578 game listings due by the cutoff had verified scores (98.1%); the rest count as unavailable, never as losses or 0-0 results.
No verified results were linked to Northside High School for this cutoff. Their ratings are provisional and rest on class, media and neutral inputs; their positions should not be read as the product of games.
Opponent ranks in this article are the opponent's rank in this snapshot, not its rank on the day the game was played, unless a sentence says otherwise.
Sources
- MHSAA official score center (schedules and scores)
- MHSAA 2025-27 football classifications and regions
- Statewide media rankings used for the Media Rank inputs
- MFPI Week 5 rankings archive
- MFPI methodology
Limitations
- Generated from the published snapshot; no games after the cutoff are included.
- Media Rank and Media Strength of Schedule contribute 20% of every rating; MFPI's own score-based model contributes 80%.
- No player, injury, coaching or game-narrative information is used or implied.