Class 5A, Region 3 · Week 9, 2026

Natchez High School

Natchez High School is No. 56 of 225 teams in the Mississippi Football Power Index and No. 9 of 25 in Class 5A. Record at the Week 9 cutoff: 6-2 in 8 verified games.

  • State ranking: down 8 spots to No. 56 (from No. 48).
  • Class 5A ranking: down 4 spots to No. 9 (from No. 5).
  • MFPI rating: decreased 2.8 points to 69.9. (provisional)

Week 9 explanation

Why Natchez High School is ranked here

Strongest result

A 34–28 win over Ridgeland High School on Sep 25 (home), an opponent currently No. 65 statewide. “Strongest” means the defeated MHSAA opponent with the best current MFPI rank, not its rank when the game was played.

Recent results

L 48–54 at Sumrall High School (Oct 23); L 42–44 vs. Laurel High School (Oct 16); W 53–30 at North Pike Senior High School (Oct 8). Recent-form percentile: 58.9.

Schedule strength

MFPI strength-of-schedule percentile 60.7 (100 = the strongest completed schedule statewide). Classification path: playing down — 1 game against higher classes, 4 in Class 5A, 3 against lower classes.

What changed this week

Rank and rating are separate measures. State ranking: down 8 spots to No. 56 (from No. 48). MFPI rating: decreased 2.8 points to 69.9. Largest component changes since Week 8: points allowed −1.2 pts; opponent-adjusted performance −0.9 pts; recent form −0.5 pts. Opponents' ratings are re-solved every week, so these can move without a new game.

Limitations

Ratings use only verified final scores through Oct 27, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT. Media rank and media strength of schedule (from MaxPreps) contribute 20%. MFPI does not consider injuries, rosters or weather, and it is not a prediction.

2026 season

Schedule & results

6-2 · 8 verified games
DateOpponentSiteResultScoreOpp. class
Aug 28Vicksburg High SchoolNo. 78AwayW20–145A
Sep 4South Pike Senior High SchoolNo. 107HomeW40–244A
Sep 11Hazlehurst High SchoolNo. 84AwayW38–143A
Sep 18Jefferson Co HighNo. 152HomeW40–03A
Sep 25Ridgeland High SchoolNo. 65HomeW34–286A
Oct 8North Pike Senior High SchoolNo. 124AwayW53–305A
Oct 16Laurel High SchoolNo. 49HomeL42–445A
Oct 23Sumrall High SchoolNo. 88AwayL48–545A

Dates are game dates in Central time. Opponent ranks are current MFPI ranks, not ranks at game time. Scores come from the official MHSAA score center, with MaxPreps team schedules used only to fill gaps. Week 9 statewide coverage: 97.8% (980 of 1002 game listings due by the cutoff verified).

Why Natchez High School rates 69.9

Rating breakdown

Each component becomes a statewide percentile, then carries its weight into the final score. Points are how many of the 69.9 rating points come from that component.

Opponent-adjusted performance79.535% weight · 27.8 ptsMargin of victory or defeat, adjusted for opponent strength and site.
MFPI strength of schedule60.720% weight · 12.1 ptsAverage current rating of every opponent played.
Media rank (MaxPreps)66.110% weight · 6.6 ptsStatewide ordinal rank in the MaxPreps Mississippi rankings, as a percentile.
Media strength of schedule (MaxPreps)57.410% weight · 5.7 ptsPublished MaxPreps schedule-strength value.
Points scored94.28% weight · 7.5 ptsPoints per game, capped at 49 in each game.
Points allowed48.78% weight · 3.9 ptsDefensive value derived from points allowed per game.
Record76.65% weight · 3.8 ptsWins plus half credit for ties, over games played.
Recent form58.94% weight · 2.4 ptsOpponent-adjusted performance across the last three games.

Nearby in the statewide rankings

No. 55 · aheadPearl High School2-7 · MFPI 70.2No. 57 · behindLeake Central High School6-2 · MFPI 69.8

Others in Class 5A

Rankings generated October 27, 2026 · Formula MFPI-3.2 · Report a correction